Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.066504 0.074973 0.083616 0.093067 0.103082 0.113349 0.124643
2025-08-24 0.050445 0.062548 0.075507 0.090279 0.106524 0.123730 0.143221
2025-08-31 0.039850 0.053872 0.069530 0.087994 0.108891 0.131560 0.157775
2025-09-07 0.033803 0.049294 0.067216 0.088935 0.114061 0.141802 0.174359
2025-09-14 0.029517 0.046163 0.066043 0.090702 0.119750 0.152277 0.190893
2025-09-21 0.026979 0.044818 0.066697 0.094351 0.127391 0.164790 0.209576
2025-09-28 0.023715 0.042159 0.065451 0.095478 0.131879 0.173530 0.223838
2025-10-05 0.023644 0.043663 0.069352 0.102818 0.143698 0.190735 0.247795
2025-10-12 0.020235 0.040259 0.066757 0.101957 0.145551 0.196214 0.258147
2025-10-19 0.018243 0.038642 0.066322 0.103664 0.150404 0.205133 0.272425
2025-10-26 0.016050 0.036501 0.065029 0.104155 0.153671 0.212104 0.284371
2025-11-02 0.014465 0.035116 0.064643 0.105718 0.158189 0.220513 0.297966
2025-11-09 0.012492 0.033022 0.063313 0.106187 0.161577 0.227872 0.310728
2025-11-16 0.009765 0.029315 0.059480 0.103201 0.160533 0.229841 0.317098
2025-11-23 0.007574 0.026151 0.056183 0.100742 0.160011 0.232336 0.324009
2025-11-30 0.006465 0.024815 0.055496 0.101756 0.163878 0.240155 0.337265
2025-12-07 0.005669 0.023971 0.055488 0.103659 0.168862 0.249331 0.352144
2025-12-14 0.005340 0.024068 0.056932 0.107585 0.176483 0.261773 0.370983
2025-12-21 0.004560 0.023024 0.056488 0.108797 0.180517 0.269748 0.384405
2025-12-28 0.004979 0.024834 0.060698 0.116678 0.193368 0.288734 0.411230
2026-01-04 0.003938 0.022959 0.058804 0.115754 0.194550 0.293138 0.420317
2026-01-11 0.003428 0.022290 0.058845 0.117585 0.199361 0.302069 0.434910
2026-01-18 0.002805 0.021154 0.058024 0.118111 0.202399 0.308753 0.446749